Six weeks into 2018 the principal indexes around the globe went into freefall, following a global sell-off in stock markets. The table below shows the changes (Δ%) between the closing prices of the indexes over the course of one day.
Some look at the US markets for the cause, where a ‘wage growth in the US jumping to 2.9pc’ caused analysts to think that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner than expected (here and here). Others consider it a chain reaction to developments in debt securities markets, with view on a yield increase in bonds (here). Most sources, however, seem to indicate that the cause of the price-drop in the main U.S. SEs (here, here and here) is a combination of a chain reaction to U.S. indexes changes, an increase in bond yields and fear of inflation (see here).
Index |
Reference Day |
Δ% |
---|---|---|
FTSE 100 |
05/02/2018 |
-1.46% |
Nikkei 225 |
06/02/2018 |
-4.73% |
Dow Jones Industrial |
05/02/2018 |
-6.23% |
S&P 500 |
06/02/2018 |
-4.10% |
Nasdaq-100 |
06/06/2018 |
-3.91% |
STOXX Europe 50 |
05/02/2018 |
-3.40% |
Sensex |
05/02/2018 |
-1.5% |
Russell 1000 |
06/02/2018 |
-4.01% |
MSCI World EUR |
05/02/2018 |
-2.91% |
CAC All Tradable |
06/02/2018 |
-1.79% |
Nevertheless, there is a consensus amongst most analysts with respect to two observations: first, a dip in stock markets is not a dip in the real economy, which continues to show healthy signs; second, ‘panic attacks’ tend to happen in SEs, but they usually cool-off rather quickly. These are the reasons for which the intraday negative valuation (+/- Δ% as to opening quote) looks worse than the closing price the index reports.